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Showing posts with label barcelona. Show all posts
Showing posts with label barcelona. Show all posts

August 23, 2011

The Champions League Draw - Start guessing!

The Draw is set for 1800 CET Noon Eastern 0900 Pacific

Update 8/24 11a Pacific : Lyon have qualified and are placed in Pot-2

Update 8/24 1230p Pacific : Fenerbahçe replaced to Trabzonspor for match fixing. BATE goes to pot-3 if the hold result today & Trabzonspor goes to pot-4
Update 8/24 130p Pacific:Benfica have qualified and are placed in Pot-2
Update 8/24 130p Pacific: Benfica have qualified and are placed in Pot-2
Update 8/24 130p Pacific: Arsenal have qualified and are placed in Pot-1 and this means Milan will be placed in Pot-2
Update 8/24 130p Pacific: BATE Borisov have qualified and are placed in Pot-3 as well as Viktoria Plzen

First of all let me congratulate all the fans of the Yellow submarine Villarreal. They came out fighting and even when they failed to score before HT, they kept the pressure up and got the result. Some great goals.


This means, Spain has 4 teams in Europe's premier competition again. We have 27 of 32 teams are set. The remaining 5 will be decided tomorrow. The next major event is the draw for the group phases. In this post we will see who are the likely opponents of all the 4 Spanish teams.


The Process

  1. All the 32 teams are divided into 4 pots Pot-1, Pot-2, Pot-3, Pot-4 based on their UEFA co-efficient.
  2. The UEFA co-efficient is determined by the performance of the team in the European competitions (UEFA Champions League and UEFA Europa League) over the past 5 years.
  3. Each of the 8 groups A through H will constitute one team from each of the 4 pots.
  4. No two teams from the same domestic league will be in the same group. This means all the 4 teams of Spain will be in 4 different groups.
The Pots
  1. Real Madrid & Barcelona are in Pot-1
  2. Valencia & Villarreal are in Pot-2
The good news is that both Valencia and Villarreal will in theory have at least two teams of lesser pedigree in European competitions over the past 5 years. But this is not always good news. For example, the impressive reigning Champions of Bundesliga Borussia Dortmund are in Pot-4. And the the hugely talented squad of Manchester City is in Pot-3

Here is how the Pots look as of August-23 8:30 PM Pacific

Pot-1

Pot-2

Pot-3

Pot-4

Barcelona

Shakhtar

Olympiacos

B.Dortmund

Man United

Villarreal

BATE

Trabzonspor

Chelsea

Valencia

Manchester City

Genk

FC Bayern

CSKA Moscow

Lille

Napoli

Real Madrid

Marseille

Zenit

D.Zagreb

Porto

Milan

Ajax

APOEL

Inter

Lyon

Leverkusen

O.Galati

Arsenal

Benfica

Basel

Viktoria Plzen


All teams in italics & red are based on provisional results in 1st legs. I will update this table after the 2nd leg results tomorrow.

So looking at the pots you may see the problem. It is possible we could have at least 2 group of deaths. For example: Barcelona, Milan, Manchester City and Borussia Dortmund is quite possibly the hardest group. I am sure most of the teams in Pot-1 and Pot-2 will be hoping to avoid Napoli & Dortmund from Pot-4 & Manchester City from Pot-3.

My predictions for the Spanish teams. Predicting some tough draws there. Hoping for the best!

POT-1

Real Madrid

Barcelona

Porto

Man United

POT-2

Shakhtar

Lyon

Villarreal

Valencia

POT-3

Lille

BATE

Manchester City

Zenit

POT-4

B.Dortmund

Napoli

APOEL

Genk


Keep visiting this early and often up until the draw.

For a detailed list of UEFA Coefficients and club rankings, visit here.





August 18, 2011

Morning Papers 8.18

As.com
Why? Because of Messi: a grand Madrid tarnished its image because of the violence of Pepe and Marcelo. Mourinho put a finger in one of Tito Vilanova´s eye.

Marca.com
Incredible Messi and an enormous Madrid: Barcelona takes the SuperCup. A great match between the two teams. A powerful and intense Madrid had the culés against the ropes but the Argentine´s genius sentenced. A scandalous final sparked by a treacherous tackle by Marcelo on Cesc Fabregas. Guardiola equalizes Cruyff´s 11 titles with Barcelona.

Sport.es
SuperMessi! SuperChampions: Lamentable Mourinho. The aggressive team in white did not know to lose and its coach attacked Tito   Vilanova.

Mundo Deportivo
SuperMessi!: Leo made two goals and gave Iniesta a third on  the night Cesc debuted at the Camp Nou. Mourinho´s aggression on Tito. Opinion: Santi Nola: ¨They don´t know how to lose, let alone win.¨

Opinion: people can talk about the match or the melee afterwards, the simple fact, plain as day is that Real Madrid are much better right now than they were at the end of last year. They dominated great stretches of this game but they still wound up short because the intensity that it takes to play 90 minutes against Barcelona, whether you park the bus or harass them, plays against you. The way to beat them is to have great players and other than Cristiano Ronaldo they just don´t. No matter how great Mourinho is, and that´s debatable in my book, you can´t make up the difference that spans Barça and Madrid with a bunch of serviceable lunch-pail, hard-working guys giving it their all. As good as Madrid were, Barcelona are still in training, they´re still about a month away from even early season form.

August 16, 2011

Around La Liga 8.16

Valencian Community:
Valencia: after threatening to report Malaga for lack of payment on the sale of Isco, the deal has been consummated and have received the 8 million euros. Juan Bernat, one of the pearls of the youth system, has been renewed until 2015 to avoid another Isco situation.

Villarreal: Malaga have confirmed that the 19 million euros they paid for Santi Cazorla have been transferred. There was speculation that either Villarreal or Valencia would report Malaga for lack of payment.

Levante: the economic crisis has hit Levante hard over the past year. Season ticket sales are down by almost 10% from 9,200. In comparison, neighbors Valencia have seen a 7% loss in the same span.

Andalusia: 
Real Betis: Achile Emaná has signed a four year deal with Saudi Arabian side Al-Hilal for an undisclosed sum.

Sevilla: Rodrigo Rios, Rodri, has signed for FC Barcelona for 1.5 million euros and will join La Masia on a four year contract. He has a buy-back clause of 10 million euros and Sevilla have first rights to rebuy.

Malaga: could Wesley Sneijder join Malaga instead of clubs in England? Gazzetta.it reported it a few days ago. He fits the sort of player that Malaga have gone for recently.

Granada: 29 year old central-midfielder Jorge Ribeiro, brother of ex-Atléti midfielder and current Sporting Lisbon midfielder Maniche, joins Los Cármenes.

Madrid: 
Atletico de Madrid: it is looking more than likely that club will sell Diego Forlán to Inter Milan and use that money to buy Pablo Daniel Osvaldo from Espanyol but only if they have already signed Radamel Falcao García from FC Porto? Something does not add up here.

Real Madrid: Neymar has said that it would be fine to sign for either Real Madrid or Barcelona. Finally he´s learned. Get the two clubs in a bidding war and sign for the winner.

Getafe: South African defender Tsepo Masilela, who was set to join Leicester City on-loan from Maccabi Haifa in Israel, has instead signed with Getafe.

Rayo Vallecano: Arsenal defender Pedro Botelho has gone out on a season long loan move to Rayo. Rayo President Martín-Presa has dispelled rumors that José Ramón Sandoval, four players and his Sporting Director would not be fired for refusal to take a 70% drop in pay.

Asturias:
Sporting de Gijon: 24 year old defender Javi Ponces has decided to quit football. ¨The more you know about football the more you realise it is all about money, that it is rotten and this takes away your enthusiasm. What point is there is earning 800 or 1000 euros if you know that you are obtaining it through the suffering of many people."

Cantabria: 
Racing Santander: in a sell-first, then buy transfer strategy, the Cantabrians under Hector Cuper are looking at a few players. Reggina forward Cristian Stuani who spent last year on-loan at Levante and former Racing midfielder Antonio Tomas.


Pais Vasco: 
Athletic Bilbao: thinking that a Spanish holiday in Bilbao looking for a top-quality forward would come on the cheap, Harry Redknapp have looked at Fernando Llorente. Athletic however do not need to sell, they are in solid financial footing and if Real Madrid couldn´t prise him away from San Mamés, Spurs are going to? Even if they could reach his valuation and any club that Daniel Levy runs is always going to try to get players on the cheap.

Real Sociedad: Arsenal forward Carlos Vela has signed with La Real for one-year on-loan as the Mexican forward struggles to get his career back on track.

Navarra:
Osasuna:  Raúl García of Atlético Madrid will play, on-loan at Osasuna this year.

Aragon: 
Real Zaragoza:  Fernando Meira leaves Zenit for Real Zaragoza. Mexican forward Pablo Barrera is also an option from West Ham.

Catalunya:
Barcelona:  Cesc Fabregas finally signs with Barcelona. Arsenal apparently have first rights to buy him back if Barcelona grow tired of him?

Espanyol: Osvaldo to Rooma? Osvaldo to Atléti? Who cares. With Haedo Valdes gone to Russia, who do we buy if Osvaldo leaves who is of equal quality? Poor decisions continue at my beloved club.

Mallorca:  
Real Mallorca: Canadian midfielder Jonathan de Guzman looks headed for Villarreal.

August 13, 2011

Eduardo Alvarez from ESPN Soccernet: Podcast#160

In this pod we have a special guest, Eduardo Alvarez of ESPN Soccernet from Brazil. Eduardo discusses all the current topics of La Liga and as usual, gives his insightful view points. You may read Eduardo's weekly columns on ESPN Soccernet.

Listen, enjoy and let us know what do you think about it.


Download this episode (right click and save)

Segment#1 16min
  1. The impact of the 'Big Two' stockpiling talent and turning into factories of loans.
  2. Why do they prefer to have a Hamit Altintop in the squad rather than a canterano.
  3. The cases of Sergio Canales and Oriol Romeu.
  4. Can Barcelona survive without any new signings on the defence and solely depending on the cantera?

Segment#2 24min
  1. The madness of the new kick-off times of La Liga and if this will be a successful move for LFP.
  2. Ley Concursal: The financial mess in La Liga.
  3. Why the financial fair-play code of UEFA wont have the desired effect on the Spanish clubs.
  4. The nefarious business of powerful agents like Jorge Mendes and how they are making matters worse for running football business.
  5. The uncanny similarities between the the causes for the economic meltdown of 08/09 and football in general and spanish football in particular.
Segment #3 24 min

  1. Eduardo covered the recently concluded Copa America extensively. He talks about the performance of Diego Forlán and the rest of La Liga players
  2. The summer of discontent between Forlán and Atlético
  3. He also touched upon some promising youngsters like Adrián Luna (Espanyol) and James Rodriguez (Porto)
  4. We round off the show with some La Liga small talk: The Basque teams, Bielsa, Málaga, Super Cup
  5. Eduardo gives us his Top 5 and the relegation candidates for the upcoming season

August 11, 2011

FC Barcelona Preview 2011

Main Storylines: since Sandro Rosell brought his insufferably vacant mug to the Presidential offices at the Camp Nou, the once flush club have entered a period of austerity that speaks either to the mismanagement of his predecessor or to Rosell´s lack of ambition, or rather his ¨tough negotiating stance¨ against clubs that would take advantage of Barça in the Summer transfer window. With that in mind it explains why the Cesc Fabregas deal, one that was essentially done last year with Txiki Begiristain in negotiations with Arsenal, has taken so long to finalize with Zubizarretta at the helm. Arsene Wenger, used to holding out for prime deals where the buyers often get stuck with players past their sell-date, has also been under pressure from management to relieve themselves of the former La Masia stand-out. Look for that to finally end and the Arsenal captain to don the blaugrana colors. The question however is, why Cesc and why now? I know Jonathan Wilson has mentioned the idea recently that Barça like to have players within three years of each other in the pipeline, and with Xavi and Iniesta nearing the virtual end of their careers the club are looking to partner Thiago with someone around three years older than he, schooled at La Masia and with the experience to take some of the pressure off the recently called-up Spanish international. Cesc is not Xavi nor is he Iniesta. He is not a direct replacement. He provides great passing, but much higher up the pitch than either of them, and he is used to dealing with the sort of pressure that José Mourinho´s teams like to inflict on opponents. In that sense also, it explains why Pep was also keen on bringing Alexis Sanchez to Barcelona. While the Chilean can drift centrally looking for space, he is (other than Afellay) the only player that Barcelona have that gives them width on the wings and an ability to make the fullbacks honest. He´ll have to coordinate his runs with Messi, but it should make either player better as teams can´t single either of them out. Who do you sit? I sit Pedro and bring him off the bench in late situations where an extra attacking midfielder/winger is needed.

Forwards: Lionel Messi gets a lot of criticism for his lack of productivity with his national team and his rivalry with Cristiano Ronaldo brings out the worst in his critics, but in my opinion there is Messi and then there are the rest of us. He´s the best player I´ve seen since Maradona and unfortunately he plays at Barça. Oh well. Carrying on with the rest of his ¨water-carriers.¨ As evidenced by their B-squad´s loss against their opposite numbers at Espanyol during this week´s Copa Catalunya final, Barcelona have had a difficult time with developing classic number 9´s in front of goal which is why they buy them in practically every transfer window. David Villa is still one of the best in the world even though at times last year he looked spent from a very strenuous World Cup in South Africa with the World Champions. He should have an exemplary year for him with some rest and relaxation finally coming to el guaje this Summer. Pedro´s story on the other hand is a remarkable one. He was almost going to be sold before Guardiola took over, and the Barça legend made him into the perfect compliment to the more higher profile players around him in attack. He´s their most valuable attacker, in the right place at the right time of most final passes in front of goal and he is deadly quick in short spurts if not classically swift over distances. His relentless style however sometimes comes with a price. He loses effectiveness late in matches so having Alexis Sanchez to trade minutes with will help. The squad will be greatly served by being more varied in attack  Ones to watch: the forgotten signing. Kiko Femenía; the pearl of Hércules of Alicante´s cantera. I don´t think he´ll get much time in the league or in the Champions League, but watch for him in the Copa del Rey at least early on. Pep will give him minutes if he lets him out of La Masía. Let´s also not forget Ibrahim Afellay. In those last few weeks of the season, the flying Dutchman was one of the few fresh legs storming in attack for a weakened Barça.

Midfielders: what else can be said of these mid-fielders. Xavi Hernandez is one of the great midfield generals, maybe the best of all-time considering his effectiveness in picking out the correct pass and his ability to break-down even the most committed defenses. Andrés Iniesta, who was a forgotten man the year before, called out by Pep to recapture his form, became the World Cup hero for all of Spain by scoring that decisive goal in the final. No one has better ball skills against a man-to-man defender than Iniesta. He is also surprisingly tenacious in recovering the ball as are most Barcelona mid-fielders. It is no wonder that some people in the organization have singled him out as Barcelona´s best player, even ahead of Messi at times. As for Busquets, Mascherano, Keita and the rest? The great thing to say about all of them is that they are versatile and help fill roles that are quite often up for grabs at a team like Barcelona. Busquets, despite his red-rage at Marcelo last year in the Clásicos, is experienced beyond his years and rarely rattled. Ones to watch: Thiago Alcántara. Pep has all the confidence in the player and the kid is just a pleasure to watch. With or without Cesc, I think Thiago plays more than even he thinks he will.

Defenders: I think the most remarkable thing about Barcelona´s success in these times is that they have done it without a great set of defenders. Most clubs are built from the back, but the blaugrana have broken every rule of building championship clubs. Now, I know that their philosophy of ball-control, possession and recovery allows them to get away with not having a group of classically built defenders and their fullbacks (especially Dani Alvez) have offensive responsibilities as well, but to have accomplished what they have with the oft-injured Carles Puyol and the oft-lame-brained Gerard Pique is unbelievable. Now, Eric Abidal is a left-back who can cover centrally if needed, as can midfielder Mascherano, and neither are most comfortable in that position, but I think there´s something else at work here. You have a group of five or six players who at any given time are completely interchangeable and very difficult to break-down because they eliminate space so well. It is almost like watching Dutch Total Football in a microcosm. Most pundits talk of the vulnerability of Barça´s defense on the counter. I think they are actually much stronger at the back than people think. I think this is one of the least talked about innovations tha Pep has brought to the club: their versatility in defense. Ones to watch: Andreu Fontàs. The young defender played admirably while Eric Abidal was out with liver problems. Keepers: Victor Valdez is a rock. His back-up Pinto should crawl under a rock.

Projection: it is easy, almost fashionable, to predict the end of this championship cycle at Barcelona. People who do are maybe giving too much credence to the Mourinho effect at Real Madrid; the fact that his squads (at Chelsea and Inter especially) were generally more devastating in second years. That´s a bit of a reach though. Both Chelsea and Inter were on the rise and their primary opponents (Manchester United & Arsenal or Juventus & AC Milan) were waning, in a rebuilding phase. Knocking Barcelona will be much more difficult. Critics may also be projecting, almost willing a collapse by the blaugrana and having them brought down to size. I understand that. No one likes a bully, everyone roots for the underdog, and people are always trying to knock the top-dog down a peg, but Barcelona are stronger than they were last year. If Pep can bring his new signings into the squad seamlessly and the club can stay healthy, there is no reason to think that they can´t be even better.

August 9, 2011

La Liga Week #1 Kick-off times




And finally they are here.

The self-proclaimed "best league of the world" has announced the kick-offs for Week#1 of the season 11 days ahead of the games. Incredible. Irony aside, let us look at the kick-offs

Game Date East coast West coast local (CET)
Espanyol x Granada 20-Aug Noon 0900 1800
Levante x Zaragoza 20-Aug Noon 0900 1800
Villarreal x Sporting 20-Aug 1400 1100 2000
Osasuna x Valencia 20-Aug 1600 1300 2200
Rayo Vallecano x Mallorca 21-Aug 0600 0300 Noon
Racing x Getafe 21-Aug 1000 0700 1600
Real Madrid x Athletic 21-Aug Noon 0900 1800
Málaga x Barcelona 21-Aug 1400 1100 2000
Betis x Sevilla 21-Aug 1600 1300 2200
Real Sociedad x Atlético 22-Aug 1500 Noon 2100

Major changes from last year.
  1. No 5pm (local) kick-offs on sunday.
  2. 9 different kick-off times
  3. The noon kick-off is geared at the Asian markets, they tried a game last season at this hour, Mallorca x Villarreal. Probably the wrong game in the wrong town at the wrong time. Fans and players alike seemed to have played through that game, hung over.
  4. The Andalucian derby is scheduled for the 10pm kick-off on Sunday. Sensible because the temperatures in Andalucia are close to 40s in the early evenings in August
  5. The other two big games, Madrid x Athletic and Málaga x Barça are also on Sunday.
  6. Villarreal play on the Saturday as they have the return leg of the CL playoff on Tuesday Aug 23rd.
It will be interesting to see how this spread-out kick-offs work. It will definitely screw up schecule of the radio programs like Carrusel, Marcador, Tiempo de juego etc.. because now they have to spend more hours and with less games going on simultaneously.
All in all, glad that the schedule is out, now let us see if they do kick-off with the players union threatening a strike.

¡¡¡Viva La Liga! Viva España!!!

August 8, 2011

Real Madrid – Barcelona: The Clasicos are back...


...and there is no place to hide.

It was the 3rd of May; Real Madrid just got eliminated from the Champions League in the semifinals by Barcelona. That game also brought an end to a tumultuous 18 days for the fans of Madrid and Barcelona in particular and the fans of football worldwide in general. A series of four clasicos in a span of just 18 days. It has never happened before. Judging by the tension, unsportsmanlike behavior from players on each side, coaches sniping at each other with verbal volleys and so forth, many a fan wished it never happen again. It was gripping drama that took so much out of the players and fans. It was the theater that showcased some of the best and the worst faces of all those involved. Despite all the negativity (that bordered on nasty at times) that permeated the days in the buildup to the games and the immediate aftermath of them, there was no doubt that the world was watching. It felt like one of those reality shows where you knew what was coming but still wanted to watch it anyway for the evil pleasure.

If you thought you had seen it all, fast forward 3 months to August and we are less than a week away from another Clasico. Madrid and Barcelona will resume their rivalry over two legs for the Spanish Super Cup on August 14th at the Bernabeu and August 17th at the Camp Nou. That’s two more clasicos in a span of 4 days. These games can’t come soon enough for hardcore fans. The neutrals are probably grumbling that they have to endure the blanket coverage and all the negativity that is associated with them. Yet, everyone will watch them because Real Madrid and Barcelona are arguably the two best football teams on the planet.

New signings

Both Real Madrid and Barcelona were involved in protracted transfer sagas this summer. Depending on who you talk to, Real Madrid have either missed out on Kun Aguero or it is a smart non-signing. The case of Neymar is a bit more complicated as the player and his current club have been sending mixed signals about when and if the player would move to Real Madrid. The latest on this is that Neymar will join Real Madrid in December after playing the Club World Cup with Santos. Apart from Neymar, Real Madrid have strengthened their side with Portuguese winger/left-back Fabio Coentrão from Benfica, Turkish midfielder Nuri Sahin from Borussia Dortmund and the young French defender Varane from RC Lens. They have also got Hamit Altinop for ‘free’ in the Nuri Sahin deal, who came in injured and after a undergoing a fairly complex back surgery will be about for at least 3-4 months of the season. Bizarre story, but anything is possible in the parallel world of football player market controlled by a few powerful and unscrupulous agents. Making way for them are Sergio Canales (loaned to Valencia), Ezequiel Garay (sold 50% to Benfica) and the impending departures Royston Drenthe, Pedro Leon and Lass. There is also a big question mark on the role of Kaka in this new Madrid but that topic deserves an article of its own. There is also the talk of Mourinho wanting to re-sign Emanuel Adebayor before the end of the transfer deadline.
All in all Real Madrid have strengthened their squad. There are more players that Mourinho can ‘count on’ than last year when he still had to do with mostly signings from a previous regime.

If Real Madrid’s transfer season has been protracted, Barcelona’s is worse. The new regime of austerity ushered in by president Sandro Rosell meant the negotiations for even the smallest of the pickups like signing a player for Barcelona B have taken forever. They signed Chilean winger/forward Alexis Sanchez from Udinese after more than a month of negotiations in a very complex deal laden with incentives. And then there is the soap opera of Cesc Fabregas. It feels like this has been running longer than Baywatch or Santa Barbara.

This issue can be explained in 3 simple sentences.

  • The player wants to go to Barcelona.
  • Barcelona wants to get him but not at any price.
  • Arsenal are willing to sell but not at any price.

There hasn’t been a significant change in the positions of any of them for the past 3 years. A poster child of how and why negotiations fail. The United Nations must be proud of how they are trying to not find a solution here. Of all three, the player probably is the least to blame and Barcelona the most. But sadly, the worst affected by the impasse are the player and Arsenal respectively.

Jeffren (sold to Sporting Lisbon), Bojan (loaned to AS Roma), Gaby Milito (let go on a free to Independiente, Argentina) are the players who have departed the team.

While Barça have upgraded their forward line with the addition of Alexis Sanchez, they have done precious little to shore up their defence. But since they tend to dip into their ‘cantera’ (youth system), they might be ok but there is no doubt they have a thinner squad and lesser margin for injury compared to Real Madrid.

Preseason

Real Madrid have taken their preseason very seriously. They have won all the 7 preseason games and scored 27 goals in all. Benzema and Ronaldo are in mid-season form along with Mesut Özil. Fabio Coentrão seems to have gelled with the team quickly and could force either Marcelo or Di Maria out of the starting lineup very soon. One of the few sour notes are the injuries to Sahin, who injured one of his knee on the first day of training and when he was finally ready to play a preseason game last week in China, he injured his other knee. The lackluster displays from Kaka are a cause for concern too. Since he doesn’t have a starting spot anymore, Madrid would probably like to loan/sell him but suitors balk at his high wages.

In contrast, Barcelona’s preseason hasn’t been as smooth. They started the training camp one week later than Real Madrid, probably due to the fact that they played in the final of the Champions League. To make matters more complicated some of their main players like Messi, Alves and Alexis were involved in the Copa America and haven’t taken part in any of the preseason games. They have lost a couple of preseason games and drawn a couple more. All this makes it even harder to gauge their level at this point. Thiago Alcantara was by far their best player in the preseason. But it is evident that they are not at the same level of fitness or rhythm as Real Madrid are. The part about rhythm is very important because if any team needs to have their timing and rhythm going for playing well, it is Barcelona. Their short and triangular passing to move the ball up the field is predicated on timing.

The Games

While Real Madrid seems to have their starting lineup almost decided barring injury, it will be interesting to see if Guardiola will start the likes of Messi or Alves who haven’t played a minute in preseason. The key to the first leg will be the approach of Real Madrid and the tactics of Mourinho. If he chooses to play cautiously as he did in the first leg of Champions League last year, he will play right into the hands of Barça. I believe Mourinho should go for the throat in the 1st leg as Barcelona will come in rusty and might need a game or two to warm up, especially someone like Messi. I would like to see the Real Madrid of Copa del Rey final. Barcelona would be happy with draw in this game.
Lineup highlights: Neither Messi nor Alves will start; Thiago will start in place of Messi. Coentrão will start in midfield in place of Di Maria.
1st leg Prediction: 2-0 Real Madrid.

The 2nd leg will be conditioned by the result of the 1st leg. If Real Madrid comes in with an advantage, they might lineup very defensively and try to nick a goal on the counter. Since I predicted a Madrid win in the 1st leg, I expect Barcelona to be much closer to their 100% but I doubt they will be able to overturn a margin greater than 1 goal.

Lineup highlights: Messi and Alves will start. Alexis will get his first minutes. Coentrão will start again ahead of Di Maria for Real Madrid.
2nd leg Prediction: 2-1 Barcelona.

Conclusion

Real Madrid will lift the Super Cup

Who ever wins, will claim it as a moral victory and emphasize the positive impact it will have on the upcoming season. The loser will try to brush it aside as little more than a glorified preseason tourney. The truth probably lies somewhere in between.

Drama and excitement are assured. Hopefully the teams will tone down the negativity and the nastiness a few notches.

For more content about the transfers and the Spanish summer, check this out.

First Leg @ Bernabeu 4pm Eastern 1pm Pacific ESPN3.com & ESPNDeportes

Second Leg @ Camp Nou 5pm Eastern 2pm Pacific ESPN3.com & ESPNDeportes

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